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AICPI-IW for Sep-12 released – Likely increase in DA from Jan 2013 is 8%

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AICPI-IW for Sep-12 released – Likely increase in DA from Jan 2013 is 8%

Central Government Employees, Pensioners and family Pensioners may get Dearness Allowance of 80% with effect from 1st January 2013

The price index which is called as AICPI – IW (All India Consumer price Index for industrial workers with the base as 2001=100) for the month of September 2012 has been issued by Government.

Click here to reade the press release issued by Governement for publishing AICPI-IW for the month of September 2012

This is the table All India consumer price index AICPI-IW for the period from January 2012 to September 2012

Central employees may get 8% D.A. from January 2013

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Central employees may get 8% D.A. from January 2013

As we are in the halfway mark of calculating D.A. effective from 01.01.2013, let us try to predict it based on current trend. The AICPI-IW No. for three months , i.e. July, Aug, Sep 2012 is punlished by the labour bureau. It is respectively 212,214 and 215. Based on current situation, if we assume that inflation will remain same and the next three months figure remains static at 215, the total D.A. will be 80% of pay as on 01.01.2013.

Expected DA upto 81% from January, 2013 on September, 2012 AICPI-IW index

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Expected DA upto 81% from January, 2013 on September, 2012 AICPI-IW index

Expectation of future Dearness Allowance from January, 2013 on the basis of 2 points jump in CPI-IW for the month of August, 2012 and 1 point jump in September, 2012 giving expectation for DA  80% or more from January 2013.

All India Consumer Price Index Number [http://labourbureau.nic.in/indtab.html] for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) on base 2001=100 for September, 2012 showing increase in 1 point and stood at 215 (Two hundred and fifteen).

Expectation-1
If we expect only 1 point increase in this index for every month the Dearness Allowance for Central Government Employee will touch 80% in January, 2013.  In view of increased LPG & Diesel price etc. we expect more monthly increase in Index and similarly in future DA.  Please go through the following calculation:-

Expected Dearness Allowance DA for Jan, 2013 calculated as under:

Dearness Allowance = (Avg of AICPI for the past 12 months - 115.76)*100/115.76

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